I know in the labour market of today, suggesting someone pick up programming from scratch is akin to suggesting someone dedicate their life to being a cooper. Sure, in very specific places, that is a very sought after skill that will earn you a good living, but compared to its heyday the labour market has shrunk considerably.
Getting into the biz
How do people get into this business? As with I suspect most things, there has to be a lot of initial positive reinforcement. Like – you do not get to be a great athlete without several thousands of hours of effort rain or shine, whether you enjoy it or not – but the reason some people with “talent” end up succeeding is that they have enough early success to catch the “bug” and stick at it when things inevitably get difficult and sacrifices have to be made.
I think the same applies here, but beyond e-sports and streamer fame, it has always been more of an internal motivation, the feeling of “I’m a genius!” when you acquire new knowledge and see things working. It used to help to have literally nothing else going on in life that was more rewarding, because just like that fleeting sensation of understanding the very fibre of the universe, there is also the catastrophic feeling of being a fraud and the worst person in the world once you stumble upon something beyond your understanding, so if you had anything else to occupy yourself with, the temptation to just chuck it in must be incredibly strong.
Until recently – software development was seen as a fairly secure career choice, so people has a financial motivator to get into it – but still, anecdotally it seems people many times got into software development by accident. Had to edit a web page, and discovered javascript and PHP – or , had to do programming as part of some lab at university and quite enjoyed it et c. Some were trying to become real engineers but had to settle for software development, some were actuaries in insurance and ended up programming python for a living.
I worry that as the economic prospects of getting into the industry as a junior developer is eaten up by AI budgets, we will see a drop-off of those that accidentally end up in software development and we will be left with only the ones with what we could kindly call a “calling”, or what I would say “has no other marketable skills” like back in my day.
Dwindling power of coercion
Microsoft of course is the enemy of any right thinking 1337 h4xx0r, but there has been quite a while where if you wanted a Good Job, learning .NET and working for a large corporation on a Lenovo Thinkpad was the IT equivalent of working at a factory in the 1960s. Not super joyous but, a Good Job. You learned .NET 4.5 and you pretended to like it. WCF, BizTalk and all. The economic power was unrelenting.
Then the crazy web 2.0 happened and the cool kids were using Ruby on Rails. If you wanted to start using ruby, it was super easy. It was like back in my day, but instead of typing ABC80 basic – see below- they used the read evaluate print loop in ruby. Super friendly way of feeling like a genius and gradually increase the level of difficulty.
10 PRINT "BAD WORD ";
20 GOTO 10 Meanwhile legacy Java and C# were very verbose, you had to explain things like static, class, void, include, static not to mention braces and semicolons et c to people before they could create a loop of a bad word filling the terminal.
People would rather still learn PHP or Ruby, because they saw no value in those old stodgy languages.
Oracle were too busy being in court suing people to notice, but on the JVM there were other attempts at creating some things less verbose – Scala and eventually Kotlin happened.
Eventually Microsoft noticed what was going on, and as the cool kids jumped ship from Ruby onto NodeJS, Microsoft were determined to not miss the boat this time, so they threw away the .NET Framework, or “threw away” – as much as Microsoft have ever broken with legacy, but still fairly backward compatible, and started from scratch with .NET Core and a renewed focus on performance and lowered barriers to entry.
The pressure really came as data science folks rediscovered Python. It too has super low barrier to entry, except there is a pipeline to data science, and Microsoft really failed to break into that market due to the continuous mismanagent of F#, except they attacked it form the Azure side and get the money that way – depite people writing python.
Their new ASP.NET Core web stack stole borrowed concepts like minimal API from Sinatra and Nancy, and they introduced top level statements to allow people to immediately get the satisfaction of creating a script that loops and emits rude words using only two lines of code
while (true)
Console.Write("Rude word ");But still, the canonical way of writing this code was to install Visual Studio and create a New Project – Console App, and when you save that to disk you have a whole bunch of extra nonsense there (a csproj file, a bunch of editor metadata stuff that you do not want to have to explain to a n00b et cetera), which is not beginner friendly enough.
This past Wednesday, Microsoft introduced .NET 10 and Visual Studio 2026. In it, they have introduced file based apps, where you can write one file that can reference NuGet packages or other C# projects, import namespaces and declare build-time variables inline. It seems like an evolution of scriptcs, but slightly more complete. You can now give people a link to the SDK installer and then give them this to put in a file called file.cs:
#!/usr/bin/env dotnet run
while (true)
Console.Write("rude word ");Then, like in most programming tutorials out there you can tell them to do sudo chmod +x file.cs if they are running a unix like OS. In that case, the final step is ./file.cs and your rude word will fill the screen…
If you are safely on Windows, or if you don’t feel comfortable with chmod, you can just type dotnet file.cs and see the screen fill with creativity.
Conclusion
Is the bar low enough?
Well, if they are competing with PHP, yes, you can give half a page length’s instruction and get people going with C#, which is roughly what it takes to get going with any other language on Linux or Mac and definitely easier than setting up PHP. The difficulty with C# and with Python as well is that they are old. Googling will give you C# constructs from ages ago that may not translate well to a file based project world. Googling for help with Python will give you a mix of python 2 and python 3, and with python it is really hard to know what is a pip thing and what is an elaborate hoax due to the naming standards. The conclusion is therefore, dotnet is now in the same ballpark as the other ones in terms of complexity, but it depends on what resources remain available. Python has a whole gigantic world out there of “how to get started from 0”, whilst C# has a legacy of really bad code from the ASP.NET WebForms days. Microsoft have historically been excellent at providing documentation, so we shall see if their MVP/RD network flood the market with intro pages.
At the same time, Microsoft is going through yet another upheaval with Windows 10 going out of support and Microsoft tightening the noose around needing to have a Microsoft Account to run Windows 11, and at the same time Steam have released the Steam Console running Windows software on Linux, meaning people will have less forced exposure to Windows even to game, whilst Google own the school market. Microsoft will still have corporate environments that are locked to Windows for a while longer, but they are far from the situation they used to be in.
I don’t know if C# is now easy enough to adopt that people that are curious about learning programming would install it over anything else on their mac or linux box.
High or low bar, should people even learn to code?
Yes, some people are going to have to learn programming in the future. AGI is not happening, and new models can only train on what is out there. Today’s generative AI can do loads of things, but in order to develop the necessary skills to leverage it responsibly, you need to be familiar with all the baggage underneath or else you risk releasing software that is incredibly insecure or that will destroy customer data. Like Bjarne Stoustrup said “C makes it easy to shoot yourself in the foot; C++ makes it harder, but when you do it blows your whole leg off” – this can apply to AI generated code as well.